
With
his recent 95 second demolition of Renato Sobral people are once more
saying UFC light heavyweight champion Chuck Liddell is unbeatable. I’m not
convinced he is – his record is impressive but lopsided and examining who
he has beaten and who he hasn’t faced gives reason to believe he isn’t the
unstoppable machine many would have you believe.
Two caveats to get out of the way –
firstly, no one is unbeatable because a lucky (or unlucky) blow can open a
cut on anyone’s head and on any given day a doctor could stop the fight.
Even Pride heavyweight champion, Fedor Emilianenko could’ve had his
unbeaten record shattered had they ruled the Grand Prix final a loss
instead of a no contest after a clash of heads left him with a huge cut on
his forehead. Secondly, Liddell is nearly 37 and time catches up with
everyone eventually. So sooner or later – just as Randy Couture did after
shocking everyone by winning the title days before his 40th
birthday and holding it until he was 42 and his borrowed time ran out –
age will defeat him.
June 2002 saw Liddell beat Vitor Belfort
to become the official number one contender to Tito Ortiz’s light
heavyweight title. That fight was significant for two reasons, one of
which is that it went the distance and would be the last time Liddell
failed to win in the allotted rounds.
The more important fact is that it was
the last time Liddell faced a striker in the UFC. Although single
discipline fighters are very rare these days, it is still generally
possible to pigeonhole people according to whether they prefer to fight
stnding or on the ground. Belfort, like Liddell, is a puncher and they
slugged it out for three rounds before Liddell got a unanimous decision. I
find it significant that Chcuk couldn’t knock Belfort out. Vitor is an
unpredictable fighter – sometimes brilliant, sometimes awful – but his
natural ability to take a punch is consistent.
So for over four years Liddell has faced
nothing but wrestlers, jui jitsu specialists and other ground based
fighters and he’s beaten them all. Tito Ortiz, Randy Couture, Renato
Sobral, Jeremy Horn, Vernon White – all of them were knocked out when they
stood with Liddell. The only exception was the first Couture-Liddell fight
when Couture surprised everyone by beating Chuck standing and then taking
the stunned striker down to the canvas. Liddell redeemed himself by
winning two rematches by knockout having prepared himself better for the
varied talents of the hall of famer.
Liddell has a great takedown defence. It
is incredibly difficult to get him off his feet and even more difficult to
keep him down. And he’s only getting better at it – I don’t see anyone in
his weight division that could take Chuck down. Before last weekend I
would’ve said Matt Hughes could but Hughes took nearly ten minutes to get
BJ Penn down so he isn’t infallible. So the grappler gets frustrated with
Liddell and has nowhere to go except standing and try to trade punches
with him. A contest in which there will be only one winner.
So who can beat Chuck Liddell? The
answer is another striker. The last time he was tested on his feet he was
found wanting. Yes, he’s going to out-punch Jeremy Horn or Renato Sobral
because their punching was awkward and half hearted, and they couldn’t
take his punches. Put him in with someone who can absorb punishment and
dish it out as well and you’d see a different fight. The obvious person is
Wanderlei Silva but politics mean that match isn’t going to happen until
Pride goes under or Silva’s contract expires. Forrest Griffin can take a
beating and then some. It was said – half as a joke but it was
nevertheless true – during the Ortiz fight that Forrest doesn’t get going
until he’s bleeding. But he can’t take five rounds of abuse without the
referee or the doctor stopping it. Michael Bisping is a ferocious striker
(hands, feet and knees) and looks like he could take a pounding but he’s
untested at anything like the highest level. He also seems to have
disappeared off the face of the earth. Brandon Vera is another powerful
striker in the light heavyweight division who hasn't yet been tested
against quality opposition. Any of these three young fighters could take
Liddell's crown or all three could end up rushed into a championship fight
and be battered back into obscurity.
What then of possible middleweight
contenders? Anderson Silva and Rich Franklin are both awesome strikers and
moving up to 205lbs wouldn’t be a problem (Franklin has certainly fought
at that weight before and looks awfully slender at 185lbs). Both could
test Liddell as he hasn’t been tested before in the UFC. Franklin in
particular is seen as one of the future franchise players in the UFC and
if the light heavyweight division becomes moribund under an overly
dominant champion I could see him being asked to move up a weight. He’s
got the cardio, he’s got the power but the knock against him has always
been a slightly weak chin. I’m not convinced he could take twenty five
minutes of Liddell onslaught. Silva is still a largely unknown commodity
at the top level of the sport. All we know is he’s awesome and he looked
it during his 49 second UFC career to date.
I’m not sure why I felt the urge to
write this. I don’t dislike Chuck Liddell, I just wish there was some
chance of him being beaten. All the best champions have to have that air
of vulnerability – Matt Hughes is the best American fighter in the world
but BJ Penn might’ve beaten him, Georges St Pierre might beat him, Diego
Sanchez might beat him. Liddell’s next fight is against Tito Ortiz and
Liddell will win easily. 2007 looks to be more or less the same. Unless
UFC’s plans for the UK include Liddell defending against Bisping and the
home town advantage spurs the Brit on to victor. Maybe. More likely he’ll
do what everyone does and get frustrated with Liddell’s calm, slow,
methodical eroding style and make a fatal mistake.
As a post script to the theory that
Liddell's downfall will come at the hands of a striker I'd like to mention
the one wrestler who would’ve stood a chance of humbling Liddell, Matt
Hamill. Hamill was one of the stars of the third Ultimate Fighter season
and is an Olympic calibre wrestler. He would take his training partners
down and stop them taking him down all with his arms held behind his back.
Freakishly strong, unbelievably gifted and a possibly inheritor of Kurt
Angle’s mantle, Hamill would have a bright future in MMA had TUF3 not
uncovered one unfortunate truth – being hit makes him ill. Really – he
took a couple of punches and had to go to hospital with dizziness and
vomiting spells. Possibly this is connected with him being deaf (if his
sense of balance is different due to his ears not working properly then
sudden shocks might take out his equilibrium), certainly it eliminated any
chance of him forging a successful fighting career. If his head had been
as hard as it looked (he was a Matt Hughes type who looks like his head is
made of an awful lot of iron) he’d be world champion in a year or two.
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